541 products in Books, Music, Movies & TV

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST  “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal   Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught?   In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters."   In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.

The collapse of the Zimbabwe dollar in 2009 after years of rampant money printing is a frightening example of what lies in store for countries that resort to printing money to pay national debts, bail out banks and oligarchs, and enrich political elites. When Money Destroys Nations tells the gripping story of the disintegration of the once thriving Zimbabwean economy and the inspiring and tragic accounts of how ordinary people survived in turbulent circumstances. Philip Haslam and Russell Lamberti give a straightforward and revealing account of the causes and consequences of Zimbabwe's hyperinflation. Countries around the world are resorting to money printing with their stimulus packages and quantitative easing.  Zimbabwe's economic collapse is not an isolated tragedy. It holds lessons for all countries and for all political leaders tempted to take illusory and perilous shortcuts to prosperity. Zimbabwe's lessons must not be ignored. This is the story of When Money Destroys Nations. "Haslam and Lamberti have produced a fascinating, accessible account of how Zimbabweans actually lived (and died) during the world's second-highest hyperinflation..." - Professor Steve H. Hanke, Johns Hopkins University

“The landmark book that argued that psychiatry consistently expands its definition of mental illness to impose its authority over moral and cultural conflict.”  — New York Times The 50th anniversary edition of the most influential critique of psychiatry every written, with a new preface on the age of Prozac and Ritalin and the rise of designer drugs, plus two bonus essays. Thomas Szasz's classic book revolutionized thinking about the nature of the psychiatric profession and the moral implications of its practices. By diagnosing unwanted behavior as mental illness, psychiatrists, Szasz argues, absolve individuals of responsibility for their actions and instead blame their alleged illness. He also critiques Freudian psychology as a pseudoscience and warns against the dangerous overreach of psychiatry into all aspects of modern life.

- HONEST. Eris 4.5BT near field studio monitors deliver studio-quality, accurate sound perfect for music production, hi-fi audio listening, or multimedia reference. - EXPRESSIVE. Clear, accurate audio with a big low end — Eris 4.5BT's woven-composite woofers’ weave and nature result in tight bass that you can feel, as well as cleaner overall sound. - POWERFUL. Compact speakers that pack a punch — 50 Watts of Class AB dual amplification (25W per side) provide all the volume and loudness you want without sacrificing tonal balance or audio clarity. - BLUETOOTH 5.0 WIRELESS CONNECTIVITY. Ultra-reliable Bluetooth 5.0 delivers seamless integration with your other devices while flexible wired connection options ensure easy compatibility with virtually any monitoring setup – so you can plug in, pair up, and get to work without missing a beat. - ULTRA-WIDE LISTENING SWEET SPOT. The natural high-frequency response of the 1-inch low-mass, silk-dome transducers (tweeters) provide superior stereo imaging from nearly any listening angle. - ALL THE CONNECTIONS YOU NEED. ¼-inch TRS balanced inputs on the back panel for professional audio devices, unbalanced RCA inputs for consumer electronics, plus a convenient front-panel ⅛-inch TRS stereo aux input for your phone. - PRECISION-TUNE TO YOUR ROOM. High- and low-frequency tuning controls allow you to customize your audio output for your ears, room size, and speaker orientation. Whether on a desk, bookshelf, or next to a turntable or record player, Eris 3.5BT's produce clear, room-filling sound. - QUICK-SWITCH TO HEADPHONES. The easy-access front panel headphone output and built-in headphone amplifier allow for plug-and-play headphone media reference when needed. - ADD MORE LOW END. The 50W, 8-inch companion Eris Sub 8BT studio subwoofer delivers a massive low-frequency boost and Bluetooth connectivity to your Eris 4.5BT’s, creating a powerful 2.1 speaker system. - POWER SAVER MODE. Power-saving mode auto engages after 40 minutes of idle time.

Size: 4.5" BT Gen 2    Color: White

A renowned economist argues for the importance of property rights in "the most intelligent book yet written about the current challenge of establishing capitalism in the developing world" (Economist) "The hour of capitalism's greatest triumph," writes Hernando de Soto, "is, in the eyes of four-fifths of humanity, its hour of crisis." In The Mystery of Capital, the world-famous Peruvian economist takes up one of the most pressing questions the world faces today: Why do some countries succeed at capitalism while others fail? In strong opposition to the popular view that success is determined by cultural differences, de Soto finds that it actually has everything to do with the legal structure of property and property rights. Every developed nation in the world at one time went through the transformation from predominantly extralegal property arrangements, such as squatting on large estates, to a formal, unified legal property system. In the West we've forgotten that creating this system is what allowed people everywhere to leverage property into wealth. This persuasive book revolutionized our understanding of capital and points the way to a major transformation of the world economy.

Of the books published regarding hyperinflation, this may be the only one that provides effective strategies for operating a business under conditions of a rapidly depreciating currency. "The Hyperinflation Survival Guide: Strategies for American Businesses" was written by Dr. Gerald Swanson (an associate professor of economics at the University of Arizona). Harry E. Figgie, Jr. sponsored the research and production of this book. As it was originally printed in 1989, it was way ahead of its time. However, this doesn't change the fact that this book will prove to be an excellent resource for businessmen and individuals once the Federal Reserve's destruction of the U.S. dollar enters its terminal stage.

New (2023) 10th Edition contains many updated techniques, scripts, and tools! It is time to look at OSINT in a different way. For many years, and within previous editions of this book, we have relied on external resources to supply our search tools, virtual environments, and investigation techniques. We have seen this protocol fail us when services shut down, websites disappear, and custom resources are dismantled due to outside pressures. This book aims to correct our dilemma. We will take control of our investigative resources and become self-reliant. There will be no more need for online search tools; we will make and host our own locally. We will no longer seek pre-built virtual machines; we will create and configure our own. This book puts the power back in your hands. The new OSINT professional must be self-sustaining and possess their own tools and resources. You will become a more proficient subject matter expert who will be armed with the knowledge and readiness to articulate the sources of your findings. This new edition contains hundreds of pages which have been updated to keep your OSINT investigative methods fresh, and completely rebuilt digital assets which complement the teachings. Brand-new search methods for Facebook, Instagram, LinkedIn, YouTube, and others ensure you have the latest techniques within your online investigation arsenal. This edition presents six new chapters unavailable within previous versions discussing Broadcast Streams, Application Programming Interfaces, and an entire new section containing chapters about Data Leaks, Data Breaches, Stealer Logs, and Ransomware. An entire section is devoted to Methodology, Workflow, Documentation, and Ethics which provides a clear game plan for your next active investigation. All digital files are included via download, and updated often. Today, we start over.

- Plastic material hook clamp for moving head light, par light, spotlight etc, Threaded Bolt: 10mm - Made of Plastic. Load Capacity: 33lb / 15kg, Fit 3 Size Pipe Diameter: 1"(25 mm) 1-1/2"(38 mm) 2" (50mm / F34) - Using in stage, DJ, Bar, Pub, Event, Theatre, Disco....

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Immerse yourself in this meticulously crafted edition of the "Ethiopian Bible in English 88 Books" a comprehensive compilation that opens doors to the profound wisdom and spiritual heritage of Ethiopia. Discover the richness of the Ethiopian Bible in English Complete which includes the Apocrypha Complete, Psalms, Enoch, and the Lost Books of The Bible, allowing exploration of ancient texts omitted from standard editions, providing profound insights into Ethiopian religious tradition. Delve into the poetic beauty and spiritual depth with this unique edition offering for the first time in English access to all 88 books of the Ethiopian Bible: * Apocrypha complete: Esdras (III and IV), Tobit, Judith, Additions to the book of Esther, Wisdom of Solomon, Prologue to Wisdom of Jesus Son of Sirach, Baruch, Letter of Jeremiah, Prayer of Azariah, Susanna, Bel and the Dragon, Prayer of Manasseh, 1, 2 and 3 Meqabyan. * Old Testament: Genesis, Exodus, Leviticus, Numbers, Deuteronomy, Joshua, Judges, Ruth, 1 Samuel (I Kingdoms), 2 Samuel (II Kingdoms), 1 Kings (III Kingdoms), 2 Kings (IV Kingdoms), Chronicles 1 and 2, Jubilees, Enoch, Ezra (I Ezra), Nehemiah (II Ezra), Esther, Job, Psalms, Psalms 151, Proverbs Messale and Tagsas, Ecclesiastes, Song of Solomon, Isaiah, Jeremiah, Lamentations, Ezekiel, Daniel, Hosea, Joel, Amos, Obadiah, Jonah, Micah, Nahum, Habakkuk, Zephaniah, Haggai, Zechariah, Malachi. * New Testament: Matthew, Mark, Luke, John, Acts, Romans, Corinthians 1 ad 2, Galatians, Ephesians, Philippians, Colossians, Thessalonians 1 and 2, Timothy 1 and 2, Titus, Philemon, Hebrews, James, Peter 1 and 2, John 1, 2 and 3, Jude, Revelation, The First Epistle of Clement, The Second Epistle of Clement and The Book of Adam and Eve. Why Choose This Book? * Authentic translations in English ensuring the preservation of the original texts' integrity and nuance. * Easy-to-read font/typeface enhances readability for effortless immersion in the scriptures. * Enjoy a comprehensive collection encompassing all 88 books of the Ethiopian Bible, offering an immersive reading experience. Embark on a journey of spiritual discovery and scholarly exploration, enhance your understanding of ancient scripture, delve into profound wisdom, and experience the richness of Ethiopian religious heritage. Purchase your copy now and receive it comfortably at home. Your spiritual journey awaits!

Hoy en día todos están listos para criticarte, etiquetarte y juzgarte si te equivocas, pero cuando alguien pide ayuda… nada. Tú, en realidad, solo necesitas hablar y desahogarte con alguien que te entienda, que no te juzgue, con alguien con quien puedas ser tú mismo/a al 100%. Necesitas a alguien con quien compartir tus pensamientos e ideas, sintiéndote libre, sin ansias o preocupaciones. Este libro, hecho de simples páginas de papel, va a ser capaz de ayudarte. Te darà la posibilidad de hablar, de liberarte de todos esos pensamientos de tu cabeza, de desahogarte y de ser, finalmente, tú mismo/a. Disfruta de cada palabra de estas páginas, disfruta de poder responder a estas preguntas y de expresar tus ideas sin tener que preocuparte de lo que piensen los demás. Estas páginas te ayudarán a conocerte, a descubrirte a tí mismo/a y a expresarte sin límites. Sé tú mismo/a y prepárate para ser sincero/a contigo.

Ana Obregón, una de las mujeres más queridas y reconocidas de nuestro país, nos ofrece un desgarrador testimonio sobre la pérdida de su hijo Aless Lequio, tras una larga y dura enfermedad. El corazón de este libro es El chico de las musarañas, el texto que Aless empezó a escribir cuando le diagnosticaron cáncer. Un relato sincero, ácido, irónico, vibrante, con un sentido del humor único, que no pudo terminar, y que nos descubre el talento, el carisma y la personalidad de un joven que, sin duda, hubiera triunfado como escritor. A través de estas páginas, Ana se desnuda en un viaje de esperanza, lucha y fuerza, donde muestra un huracán de sentimientos y emociones sin filtro, en el que sumerge al lector en una experiencia inolvidable. La prueba de amor más bonita de una madre, una narración conmovedora, que sobrecogerá y en más de una ocasión despertará una sonrisa cómplice.