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Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill. This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives. The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness. However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance. Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared. PRAISE FOR FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS: Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year “[Fooled by Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther’s ninety-five theses were to the Catholic Church.” –Malcolm Gladwell, author of Blink “The book that rolled down Wall Street like a hand grenade.” –Maggie Mahar, author of Bull! A History of the Boom, 1982—1999 “Fascinating . . . Taleb will grab you.” –Peter L. Bernstein, author of Capital Ideas Evolving “Recalls the best of scientist/essayists like Richard Dawkins . . . and Stephen Jay Gould.” –Michael Schrage, author of Serious Play: How the World’s Best Companies Simulate to Innovate “We need a book like this. . . . Fun to read, refreshingly independent-minded.” –Robert J. Shiller, author of Irrational Exuberance “Powerful . . . loaded with crackling little insights [and] extreme brilliance.” –National Review

An inside look at modern open source software development and its influence on our online social world. Open source software, in which developers publish code that anyone can use, has long served as a bellwether for other online behavior. In the late 1990s, it provided an optimistic model for public collaboration, but in the last 20 years it’s shifted to solo operators who write and publish code that's consumed by millions. In Working in Public, Nadia Asparouhova takes an inside look at modern open source software development, its evolution over the last two decades, and its ramifications for an internet reorienting itself around individual creators. Asparouhova, who interviewed hundreds of developers while working to improve their experience at GitHub, argues that modern open source offers us a model through which to understand the challenges faced by online creators. She examines the trajectory of open source projects, including: * The GitHub platform for hosting and development * The structures, roles, incentives, and relationships involved in open source projects * The often-overlooked maintenance required of its creators * The costs of production that endure through an application’s lifetime. Asparouhova also scrutinizes the role of platforms like Twitter, Facebook, Twitch, YouTube, and Instagram, which reduce infrastructure and distribution costs for creators but which massively increase the scope of interactions with their audience. Open source communities are increasingly centered around the work of individual developers rather than teams. Similarly, if creators, rather than discrete communities, are going to become the epicenter of our online social systems, we need to better understand how they work—and we can do so by studying what happened to open source.

AN INSTANT #1 NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER! Never stop...Never forget...Just remember. Charlie Wynwood and Silas Nash have been best friends since they could walk. They've been in love since the age of fourteen. But as of this morning...they are complete strangers. Their first kiss, their first fight, the moment they fell in love...every memory has vanished. Now Charlie and Silas must work together to uncover the truth about what happened to them and why. But the more they learn about the couple they used to be...the more they question why they were ever together to begin with. Forgetting is terrifying, but remembering may be worse. Heart-stopping and utterly captivating, the complete Never Never series, now available in one volume, will leave readers breathless and believing in the power of love. Perfect for fans of: * Verity, Too Late and The Wives * New Adult and Coming of Age stories * Angsty, romantic suspense * First loves and second chances * Colleen Hoover, Tarryn Fisher, Mia Sheridan and Lucy Score Don't miss the bestselling romantic mystery— Now available in a stunning hardcover Collector's Edition featuring nine exclusive illustrations, a foil-stamped case, beautifully sprayed edges and custom designed endpapers!

The Art of War is a renowned ancient Chinese military treatise written by Sun Tzu, a military strategist and philosopher. Composed around the fifth century BC, it provides valuable insights into warfare and strategy. The book emphasizes the importance of careful planning, understanding the enemy, exploiting weaknesses, and employing tactics to achieve victory. It covers various aspects of warfare, including tactics, intelligence gathering, leadership, and the importance of adaptability. It continues to be studied and applied in various fields beyond the military, including business and politics. Strategy. Strength. Supreme success. * Insights into strategy and warfare. * Provides valuable insights into navigating dynamic and unpredictable environments in various domains. * Delves into the qualities of successful leaders. * Offers practical advice on how to gain advantages and outmanoeuvre opponents. * Emphasizes the importance of strategic thinking and planning.

3 Years - Daisy Robin & Me Starter Green (pack)

Desmontando la leyenda negra desde Bartolomé de las Casas hasta el separatismo catalán. «En Madre patria, el profesor Marcelo Gullo Omodeo demuestra que lo que está pasando ahora en España, en su contexto histórico y geográfico, es imposible de separar de la América hispana. Las cuentas pendientes son las mismas: afianzar las democracias y conjurar la inestabilidad territorial, cara y cruz de la misma moneda. Sorprende que el autor viva la profunda crisis que España atraviesa con tanta implicación y más sentido de la responsabilidad que muchos españoles». María Elvira Roca Barea En este monumental libro, Marcelo Gullo Omodeo demuestra que la leyenda negra fue la obra más genial del marketing político británico. Que, de manera inconcebible, los españoles se han creído la historia de España e Hispanoamérica que escribieron sus enemigos tradicionales, y se avergüenzan de un pasado del que deberían sentirse orgullosos. Que Hernán Cortés no fue el conquistador de México, sino el libertador de cientos de pueblos indígenas que estaban sometidos al imperialismo más feroz que ha conocido la historia de la humanidad: el de los aztecas. Que no fueron Pizarro y el puñado de españoles que lo acompañaban los que pusieron fin al imperialismo totalitario de los incas, sino los indios huancas, los chachapoyas y los huaylas. Que las masas indígenas en Colombia, Ecuador y Perú se mantuvieron fieles a la Corona española hasta el final. Que los libertadores Simón Bolívar y José de San Martín no quisieron romper de forma absoluta los vínculos que unían a América con España, sino que buscaron con todas sus fuerzas la creación de un gran imperio constitucional hispanocriollo con capital en Madrid. O que la responsabilidad de la disolución del Imperio español la tuvo Fernando VII, que prefirió estar preso en Europa y no libre en América. Concluye el autor señalando que nada separa a España de América, ni a América de España, salvo la mentira y la falsificación de la historia, y que el futuro de ambas depende de que sean capaces de desterrar para siempre el mito de la leyenda negra de la conquista española de América.

This is a 6X9 version of the Apocrypha from the 1611 KJV Bible with LARGE 14-point text size for easy reading, especially for persons with close-up vision needs version. It contains the complete 15 rejected books: * THE BOOK OF TOBIT * THE BOOK OF JUDITH * THE BOOK OF ESTHER * THE BOOK OF WISDOM * THE WISDOM OF JESUS THE SON OF SIRACH, OR ECCLESIASTICUS * THE BOOK OF BARUCH * LETTER OF JEREMIAH * PRAYER OF AZARIAH & SONG OF THE THREE JEWS * SUSANNA * BEL AND THE DRAGON * 1 MACCABES * 2 MACCABEES * 1 ESDRAS * 2 ESDRAS * PRAYER OF MANASSAH

This little book was written to accomplish something big: economic literacy. It is intentionally kept very short to be inviting rather than intimidating. You will gain life-changing understanding of how the economy works in practically no time. Per Bylund will make you excited about what economics has to offer. Because economic literacy is mind-opening. Sound economic reasoning is an enormously powerful tool for understanding both the economy and society. Economic literacy uncovers what is going on under the surface and why things work out as they do. There is no magic to it. In fact, economic literacy is necessary to properly understand the world. Short, direct, axiomatically unassailable, and devastating to the mythology of modern economics. This book not only promote Mises' views, but refutes and attacks the tragicomic orthodoxy of today’s economics mainstream.

Bostrom’s last book, Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies (OUP, 2014), sparked a global conversation on AI that continues and widens to this day. That book, which despite its academic style became a New York Times bestseller, focused on what would happen if AI goes wrong. But what if AI goes right? Suppose we succeed in developing superintelligence safely and that we make good use of the almost magical powers this unlocks. We would then achieve full unemployment. More than that, we would transition into a “post-instrumental condition," in which human effort is not needed for any practical purpose. This would be a condition of material abundance. Human nature itself would become fully malleable. In such a solved world, what would be the point of human existence? What could give meaning to our lives? Which old values will we have to sacrifice, and which new values will we be able to realize to wonderful degrees? Deep Utopia—a work that is again years ahead of its time—takes the readers on a journey into some of the most profound questions that arise as we dissolve the limits of our current mode of being. It is a lush, playful, difficult, and human text that interleaves fiction stories and philosophical lectures that show us a glimpse of a different kind of existence–one that might be ours in the not-so-distant future. Winner of 7 Book Awards! 2024 AMERICAN LEGACY BOOK AWARDS WINNER 2024 LIVING NOW BOOK AWARD EVERGREEN GOLD MEDAL WINNER 2024 PENCRAFT BOOK AWARDS 1ST PLACE WINNER

Want a comfortable way to talk with your kids about pornography? This newly revised edition of the original bestseller from Defend Young Minds makes that daunting discussion easy! Good Pictures Bad Pictures is a read-aloud story about a mom and dad who explain what pornography is, why it’s dangerous, and how to reject it. Featuring easy-to-understand science and simple analogies, this internationally-acclaimed book engages young kids to porn-proof their own brains. With Good Pictures Bad Pictures, your child will never be caught off guard by disturbing videos or peer pressure! The 5-point CAN DO Plan™ teaches kids exactly what to do to protect their young minds when they see pornography. “I am so grateful for this book! It was a great way to talk to my children about pornography without that awkward, uncomfortable feeling.” Lisa Parents don’t need to wonder what to say--simply read Good Pictures Bad Pictures to your child and move forward with confidence! You can even use this book before beginning the sex talks! Check out these new features in the second edition. * "Let's Talk!" discussion questions at the end of each chapter help kids deepen their understanding so they’ll be even more prepared to reject pornography. * All new Tips for Parents and Caregivers section offers practical advice for raising porn-proof kids in the digital age.. * The most up-to-date science provides kids with even more powerful arguments against pornography. * A beautifully redesigned interior makes it easier and more fun to read!

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- Las cuerdas Slinky de Ernie Ball son las elegidas por leyendas de la música de todo el mundo como Slash, Jimmy Page, Metallica, Eric Clapton y muchos más. - Las Mega Slinky se parecen a nuestro famoso juego Power Slinky pero con un pelín menos de tensión en las cuerdas más altas. - En paquete Element Shield que garantiza que tus cuerdas estarán igual de nuevas que cuando se fabricaron. - Tono alegre y equilibrado. - Fabricación en California (EE. UU.) con los materiales más recientes y de la mejor calidad.

Color: Mega (10.5-48)    Nombre de estilo: 1 paquete