548 products in Books, Music, Movies & TV

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST  “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal   Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught?   In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters."   In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.

- Las cuerdas Slinky de Ernie Ball son las elegidas por leyendas de la música de todo el mundo como Slash, Jimmy Page, Metallica, Eric Clapton y muchos más. - El calibre 12-56 de las Not Even Slinky es óptimo para desafinar. - En paquete Element Shield que garantiza que tus cuerdas estarán igual de nuevas que cuando se fabricaron. - Tono alegre y equilibrado. - Fabricación en California (EE. UU.) con los materiales más recientes y de la mejor calidad.

Color: Not Even (12-56)    Nombre de estilo: 1 paquete

- Las cuerdas Slinky de Ernie Ball son las elegidas por leyendas de la música de todo el mundo como Slash, Jimmy Page, Metallica, Eric Clapton y muchos más. - Uno de los calibres originales Slinky, las Super Slinky se han mantenido como una de las cuerdas para guitarra eléctrica más famosas durante décadas. - En paquete Element Shield que garantiza que tus cuerdas estarán igual de nuevas que cuando se fabricaron. - Tono alegre y equilibrado. - Fabricación en California (EE. UU.) con los materiales más recientes y de la mejor calidad.

Nombre de estilo: 1 paquete

- 【Whole Separate Bags Designed】Whole divider that can be taken out, Put it in, 18 layers for All kinds of Cables& Accessories. Double compartment mesh pocket on the cover, Another 2 big zipper pocket outside, are used to hold small items of any size - 【Heavy Duty Material】Made by Nylon, With Pearl cotton Around. Anti-fall, Scratch-resistant and Durable, Good Protection. Strong webbed handles, Padded shoulder strap，Easy to carry everywhere.It is also sturdy, has a comfortable carry handle and a shoulder strap which means you could carry it on your shoulder and take another item at the same time if you wished - 【Great Organizer】Extra Large Travel Gig Band Cable File Bag:30"x11"x14.5".You can keep all the cables seperate for quicker set up and break down times and this bag is perfect for that.This is probably a great bag to use for small accessory cables and effect boxes, Also for mic cables or reasonable length power cables - 【Multi Function】It can help you cut gig setup and teardown time a lot. Having all my cables in exactly the right place and the same place each time, it will be much faster setup and teardown. and it can help you reduce another bag or any other accessaories - 【For Travel】Travel with Ease and Style: This travel file holder will keep all your important things organized, in one place and ready to go. Great for the office to keep everything within reach

Color: Black-Grey   

A bold and eye-opening exposé on how power and propaganda distort the news, now more relevant than ever • With an updated introduction “[A] compelling indictment of the news media’s role in covering up errors and deceptions in American foreign policy.”—The New York Times Book Review Renowned scholars Edward S. Herman and Noam Chomsky reveal how U.S. news media, far from being independent watchdogs, often function as tools of elite influence. With probing analysis, they present their Propaganda Model, a framework that explains how systemic bias shapes the stories we’re told, the voices we hear, and the truths that remain hidden. Through deeply researched case studies, from the Vietnam War to coverage of “worthy” vs. “unworthy” victims, Manufacturing Consent exposes the structural forces that drive news organizations to reinforce power rather than question it. It’s a sobering portrait of a media system more interested in maintaining order than informing the public. This edition includes an introduction updating key examples and expanding the Propaganda Model’s relevance to issues like the coverage of NAFTA, the media’s treatment of global protests, and environmental regulation. Manufacturing Consent is a powerful assessment of how propagandistic the U.S. mass media are, how they systematically fail to live up to their self-image as providers of the kind of information that people need to make sense of the world, and how we can understand their function in a radically new way. Whether you’re a student, activist, or citizen looking to see beyond the headlines, this book will transform how you understand the media—and the world around you.

Directed by Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, collectively known as Daniels, the film is a hilarious and big-hearted sci-fi action adventure about an exhausted Chinese American woman (Michelle Yeoh) who can't seem to finish her taxes.

- Las cuerdas Slinky de Ernie Ball son las elegidas por leyendas de la música de todo el mundo como Slash, Jimmy Page, Metallica, Eric Clapton y muchos más. - Las Mega Slinky se parecen a nuestro famoso juego Power Slinky pero con un pelín menos de tensión en las cuerdas más altas. - En paquete Element Shield que garantiza que tus cuerdas estarán igual de nuevas que cuando se fabricaron. - Tono alegre y equilibrado. - Fabricación en California (EE. UU.) con los materiales más recientes y de la mejor calidad.

Color: Mega (10.5-48)    Nombre de estilo: 1 paquete

EL LIBRO DE GRAFOMOTRICIDAD QUE CONVIERTE CADA TRAZO EN UNA PEQUEÑA MISIÓN (3-5 AÑOS) Sabes que trazar líneas no es solo dibujar: es la base de la motricidad fina, la coordinación ojo-mano y la futura escritura. El reto está en conseguir que un niño de 3 a 5 años quiera repetir trazos sin aburrirse. Por eso, en este libro ningún trazo se hace porque sí. Paso 1: Traza líneas con sentido y en la dirección correcta Aquí cada línea tiene una misión: una recta hace despegar un cohete, una curva ayuda a saltar a una rana y una onda dibuja el vuelo de una mariposa. Cuando entienden el “para qué”, los peques se implican más y siguen el recorrido con más facilidad. Además, cada trazo incluye pauta y flechas, para reforzar la direccionalidad que usarán más adelante al escribir. La dificultad avanza en 6 niveles muy graduales, casi sin que el niño note el cambio. Así gana confianza, evita frustrarse y mejora el control del lápiz paso a paso. Paso 2: Repasa y colorea como un artista Los niños repasan trazos en dibujos de casas, trenes y simpáticos animales, y después los colorean. Una forma amena de seguir fortaleciendo la motricidad fina mientras desarrollan la creatividad. Ellos se divierten; su mano se entrena. Paso 3: Laberintos inspirados en cuentos clásicos ¿Alcanzará Alicia al conejo blanco? ¿Llegará Blancanieves a la casa de los enanitos? Estos laberintos ayudan a repasar los tipos de línea e incorporan un reto extra: planificar el recorrido. Así trabajan la orientación espacial, la atención y el razonamiento lógico mientras disfrutan de personajes que ya conocen. REGALA UN LIBRO PENSADO PARA LA FORMA EN QUE APRENDEN LOS NIÑOS DE 3 A 5 AÑOS. TU HIJO VERÁ MISIONES DIVERTIDAS. TÚ VERÁS CÓMO, TRAZO A TRAZO, GANA SEGURIDAD EN EL CONTROL DEL LÁPIZ.

With over 50,000 copies sold, The Rust Programming Language is the quintessential guide to programming in Rust. Thoroughly updated to Rust’s latest version, this edition is considered the language’s official documentation. The Rust Programming Language "covers everything you could want to know about the language."—Stack Overflow Rust has been repeatedly voted "Most Loved Language" on the StackOverflow Developer Survey. The Rust Programming Language, 2nd Edition is the official guide to Rust 2021: an open source systems programming language that will help you write faster, more reliable software. Rust provides control of low-level details along with high-level ergonomics, allowing you to improve productivity and eliminate the hassle traditionally associated with low-level languages. Klabnik and Nichols, alumni of the Rust Core Team, share their knowledge to help you get the most out of Rust’s features so that you can create robust and scalable programs. You’ll begin with basics like creating functions, choosing data types, and binding variables, then move on to more advanced concepts, such as: * Ownership and borrowing, lifetimes, generics, traits, and trait objects to communicate your program’s constraints to the compiler * Smart pointers and multithreading, and how ownership interacts with them to enable fearless concurrency * How to use Cargo, Rust’s built-in package manager, to build, document your code, and manage dependencies * The best ways to test, handle errors, refactor, and take advantage of expressive pattern matching In addition to the countless code examples, you’ll find three chapters dedicated to building complete projects: a number-guessing game, a Rust implementation of a command line tool, and a multithreaded server.

AN INSTANT #1 NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER! Never stop...Never forget...Just remember. Charlie Wynwood and Silas Nash have been best friends since they could walk. They've been in love since the age of fourteen. But as of this morning...they are complete strangers. Their first kiss, their first fight, the moment they fell in love...every memory has vanished. Now Charlie and Silas must work together to uncover the truth about what happened to them and why. But the more they learn about the couple they used to be...the more they question why they were ever together to begin with. Forgetting is terrifying, but remembering may be worse. Heart-stopping and utterly captivating, the complete Never Never series, now available in one volume, will leave readers breathless and believing in the power of love. Perfect for fans of: * Verity, Too Late and The Wives * New Adult and Coming of Age stories * Angsty, romantic suspense * First loves and second chances * Colleen Hoover, Tarryn Fisher, Mia Sheridan and Lucy Score Don't miss the bestselling romantic mystery— Now available in a stunning hardcover Collector's Edition featuring nine exclusive illustrations, a foil-stamped case, beautifully sprayed edges and custom designed endpapers!

The collapse of the Zimbabwe dollar in 2009 after years of rampant money printing is a frightening example of what lies in store for countries that resort to printing money to pay national debts, bail out banks and oligarchs, and enrich political elites. When Money Destroys Nations tells the gripping story of the disintegration of the once thriving Zimbabwean economy and the inspiring and tragic accounts of how ordinary people survived in turbulent circumstances. Philip Haslam and Russell Lamberti give a straightforward and revealing account of the causes and consequences of Zimbabwe's hyperinflation. Countries around the world are resorting to money printing with their stimulus packages and quantitative easing.  Zimbabwe's economic collapse is not an isolated tragedy. It holds lessons for all countries and for all political leaders tempted to take illusory and perilous shortcuts to prosperity. Zimbabwe's lessons must not be ignored. This is the story of When Money Destroys Nations. "Haslam and Lamberti have produced a fascinating, accessible account of how Zimbabweans actually lived (and died) during the world's second-highest hyperinflation..." - Professor Steve H. Hanke, Johns Hopkins University

Niccolò Machiavelli’s The Prince is one of the most influential works in the history of political thought and the adjective Machiavellian is well-known and perhaps even over-used. So why does the meaning of the text continue to be debated to the present day? And how does a contemporary reader get to grips with a book full of references to the politics of the early 16th Century? The Routledge Guidebook to Machiavelli’s The Prince provides readers with the historical background, textual analysis, and other relevant information needed for a greater understanding and appreciation of this classic text. This guidebook introduces: * the historical, political and intellectual context in which Machiavelli was working * the key ideas developed by Machiavelli throughout the text and the examples he uses to illustrate them * the relationship of The Prince to The Discourses and Machiavelli’s other works Featuring a timeline, maps and suggestions for further reading throughout, this book is an invaluable guide for anyone who wants to be able to engage more fully with The Prince.