321 products in Books

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST  “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal   Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught?   In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters."   In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.

Desmontando la leyenda negra desde Bartolomé de las Casas hasta el separatismo catalán. «En Madre patria, el profesor Marcelo Gullo Omodeo demuestra que lo que está pasando ahora en España, en su contexto histórico y geográfico, es imposible de separar de la América hispana. Las cuentas pendientes son las mismas: afianzar las democracias y conjurar la inestabilidad territorial, cara y cruz de la misma moneda. Sorprende que el autor viva la profunda crisis que España atraviesa con tanta implicación y más sentido de la responsabilidad que muchos españoles». María Elvira Roca Barea En este monumental libro, Marcelo Gullo Omodeo demuestra que la leyenda negra fue la obra más genial del marketing político británico. Que, de manera inconcebible, los españoles se han creído la historia de España e Hispanoamérica que escribieron sus enemigos tradicionales, y se avergüenzan de un pasado del que deberían sentirse orgullosos. Que Hernán Cortés no fue el conquistador de México, sino el libertador de cientos de pueblos indígenas que estaban sometidos al imperialismo más feroz que ha conocido la historia de la humanidad: el de los aztecas. Que no fueron Pizarro y el puñado de españoles que lo acompañaban los que pusieron fin al imperialismo totalitario de los incas, sino los indios huancas, los chachapoyas y los huaylas. Que las masas indígenas en Colombia, Ecuador y Perú se mantuvieron fieles a la Corona española hasta el final. Que los libertadores Simón Bolívar y José de San Martín no quisieron romper de forma absoluta los vínculos que unían a América con España, sino que buscaron con todas sus fuerzas la creación de un gran imperio constitucional hispanocriollo con capital en Madrid. O que la responsabilidad de la disolución del Imperio español la tuvo Fernando VII, que prefirió estar preso en Europa y no libre en América. Concluye el autor señalando que nada separa a España de América, ni a América de España, salvo la mentira y la falsificación de la historia, y que el futuro de ambas depende de que sean capaces de desterrar para siempre el mito de la leyenda negra de la conquista española de América.

MEJOR NOVELA DE 2021 SEGÚN EL DIARIO EL PAÍS. Agnes, una muchacha peculiar que parece no rendir cuentas a nadie y que es capaz de crear misteriosos remedios con sencillas combinaciones de plantas, es la comidilla de Stratford, un pequeño pueblo de Inglaterra. Cuando conoce a un joven preceptor de latín igual de extraordinario que ella, se da cuenta enseguida de que están llamados a formar una familia. Pero su matrimonio se verá puesto a prueba, primero por sus parientes y después por una inesperada desgracia. Partiendo de la historia familiar de Shakespeare, Maggie O’Farrell transita entre la ficción y la realidad para trazar una hipnótica recreación del suceso que inspiró una de las obras literarias más famosas de todos los tiempos. La autora, lejos de fijarse únicamente en los acontecimientos conocidos, reivindica con ternura las inolvidables figuras que habitan en los márgenes de la historia y ahonda en las pequeñas grandes cuestiones de cualquier existencia: la vida familiar, el afecto, el dolor y la pérdida. El resultado es una prodigiosa novela que ha cosechado un enorme éxito internacional y confirma a O’Farrell como una de las voces más brillantes de la literatura inglesa actual. «Lo que hace tan interesantes a las novelas de O'Farrell es su apuesta por cambiar siempre de ángulo o decidirse por el más inesperado, su estilo lírico y delicado aunque directo y estremecedor si hace falta, su atención al detalle producto de una evidente investigación profunda que, sin embargo, llega con gran naturalidad a la página. Esto es muy evidente en "Hamnet".» Mariana Enriquez (Página 12) «Lo maravilloso y muy meritorio de "Hamnet" es que Maggie O’Farrell vivifica a Shakespeare, el gran “monstruo de la naturaleza” del canon universal ―siempre desde una perspectiva anglosajona―, colocando en primer plano la domesticidad y utilizando como foco narrativo prioritario la figura de su esposa, aquí llamada Agnes. (…) un magnífico texto sobre el amor de una pareja disímil que, en su superación del duelo y en la metamorfosis de la existencia que comporta la muerte intempestiva, toma en apariencia caminos divergentes.» Marta Sanz (Babelia - El País) «Un prodigio literario que indaga en el origen del dolor y transita por las sendas más desconocidas del amor y la maternidad. Una historia extraordinaria, que mezcla realidad y ficción, llena de imaginación y empatía. Una maravilla.» Inés Martín Rodrigo (ABC Cultural) «"Hamnet" es modélica en el desarrollo de su trama y en el cuidado de su ambientación.» Antonio Lozano (Cultura/s – La Vanguardia) «"Hamnet" habla de la mortalidad y el duelo, sobre cómo lo procesa y deglute cada uno. Una novela magnífica por la construcción de personajes y por el prodigio de saber escarbar con respeto en los recovecos de la verdad histórica.» Olga Merino (El Periódico) «Una obra redonda, de enorme belleza. (…) Una gran historia, enormemente conmovedora, que indaga acertadamente en el dolor y la pérdida con una destreza y una sensibilidad sencillamente magistrales.» Sagrario Fernández-Prieto (La Razón) «Es una maravilla sensible y agridulce. La obra de una gran escritora y la prueba de que los grandes siempre tiene algo que contar.» Xavi Sancho (ICON – El País) «"Hamnet" juega con la historia de Shakespeare y Agnes, pero Maggie O'Farrell es capaz de llevarse la narración siempre a su terreno, al que mejor navega: el de las relaciones personales, el dolor y la maternidad. Esa es la gran fortaleza de esta novela hermosísima de prosa bellísima.» Lara Hermoso (Radio 3) «Una novela sencillamente colosal.» Javier García Recio (La Opinión de Málaga) «Una novela ambiciosa, de una riqueza literaria que deja boquiabierto a quien se enfrenta a su grandeza.» Sonia Fides (Heraldo de Aragón) «O'Farrell toma una historia reconocible y la hace sorprendentemente nueva a los ojos asombrados de los lectores. (…) La mejor novela de Maggie O’Farrell.» Luis M. Alonso (La Nueva España) «Su mejor novela hasta la fecha. "Hamnet" demuestra que siempre hay nuevas historias que contar. (...) Esto confirma a O’Farrell como una escritora de extraordinaria versatilidad – cualidades que comparte con William Shakespeare.» Stephanie Merritt (The Guardian) «Sobresaliente, preciosa, conmovedora (…) El libro de su vida. ¡Estoy tremendamente celosa!» Tracy Chevalier «Un extraordinario hito de la imaginación y la empatía.» The New York Times Book Review «Un regalo para los sentidos. Una novela muy especial.» The Sunday Times «Una historia emotiva y llena de intriga sobre la manera en que el dolor transforma brutalmente un matrimonio.» The Washington Post «Una saga familiar tan llena de vida, de magia y de afecto que desearía que fuera real. (...) Maravillosamente escrita.» The Boston Globe

#1 NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER / #1 WALL STREET JOURNAL BESTSELLER / #1 PUBLISHER'S WEEKLY BESTSELLER / #1 AMAZON BESTSELLER No American leader has accomplished more for his state than Governor Ron DeSantis. Now he reveals how he did it. He played baseball for Yale, graduated with honors from Harvard Law School, and served in Iraq and in the halls of Congress. But in all these places, Ron DeSantis learned the same lesson: He didn’t want to be part of the leftist elite. His heart was always for the people of Florida, one of the most diverse and culturally rich states in the union. Since becoming governor of the Sunshine State, he has fought—and won—battle after battle, defeating not just opposition from the political left, but a barrage of hostile media coverage proclaiming the end of the world. When he implemented COVID-19 policies based on evidence and focused on freedoms, the press launched a smear campaign against him, yet Florida’s economy thrived, its education system outperformed the nation, and Florida’s COVID mortality rate for seniors was lower than that in thirty-eight states. When he enacted policies to keep leftist political concepts like critical race theory and woke gender ideology out of Florida’s classrooms, the media demagogued his actions, but parents across Florida rallied to his cause. Dishonest attacks from the media don’t deter him. In fact, DeSantis keeps racking up wins for Floridians. In 2022, the governor delivered a historic, record-setting victory, winning by nearly 20 points and more than 1.5 million votes. A firsthand account from the blue-collar boy who grew up to take on Disney and Dr. Fauci, The Courage to Be Free delivers something rare from an elected leader: stories of victory. This book is a winning blueprint for patriots across the country. And it is a rallying cry for every American who wishes to preserve our liberties. This is more than a memoir—it’s a playbook for victory. * Conservative Leadership: From the ball fields of Yale to the halls of Congress and the battlefields of Iraq, discover the firsthand account of how a blue-collar kid developed the courage to lead. * Fighting Woke Ideology: Go behind the scenes of the battles against leftist concepts like critical race theory and woke corporations like Disney, and learn how to win the fight for common sense. * Economic Freedom: Learn the principles behind Florida’s thriving economy, which outperformed the nation by rejecting disastrous lockdowns and focusing on individual liberty. * An American Revival: A detailed blueprint for patriots on how to defeat the leftist elite, stand up to a hostile media, and preserve American liberties for future generations.

Widely respected and admired, Philip Fisher is among the most influential investors of all time. His investment philosophies, introduced almost forty years ago, are not only studied and applied by today's financiers and investors, but are also regarded by many as gospel. This book is invaluable reading and has been since it was first published in 1958. The updated paperback retains the investment wisdom of the original edition and includes the perspectives of the author's son Ken Fisher, an investment guru in his own right in an expanded preface and introduction "I sought out Phil Fisher after reading his Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits...A thorough understanding of the business, obtained by using Phil's techniques...enables one to make intelligent investment commitments." ―Warren Buffet

BLACK & WHITE VERSION Peercoin (PPC) is a decentralised cryptocurrency similar to Bitcoin. It was the first cryptocurrency to introduce a new form of timestamping (proof of stake) that allows users of the wallet to receive a 1% rate of return on their holdings per year. This book is a detailed history of the first year of Peercoin up to the 19th of August 2013 (the time at which the blockchain had been usable for one year by the general public).

In July 2010, Wikileaks published Cablegate, one of the biggest leaks in the history of the US military, including evidence for war crimes and torture. In the aftermath Julian Assange, the founder and spokesman of Wikileaks, found himself at the center of a media storm, accused of hacking and later sexual assault. He spent the next seven years in asylum in the Ecuadorian embassy in London, fearful that he would be extradited to Sweden to face the accusations of assault and then sent to US. At this point, Nils Melzer, UN Special Rapporteur on Torture, started his investigation into how the US and UK governments were working together to ensure a conviction. His findings are explosive, revealing that Assange has faced grave and systematic due process violations, judicial bias, collusion and manipulated evidence. Melzer also gathered together consolidated medical evidence that proves that Assange has suffered prolonged psychological torture. Melzer's compelling investigation puts the UK and US state into the dock, showing how, through secrecy, impunity and, crucially, public indifference, unchecked power reveals a deeply undemocratic system. Furthermore, the Assange case sets a dangerous precedent: once telling the truth becomes a crime, censorship and tyranny will inevitably follow.

Dr. Hoff’s 1938 book and Professor Vaughn’s important introduction establish the theoretical impossibility of socialism: a system empirically in ruins but still advocated by many.

This is the first genuine etymological dictionary of Old Chinese written in any language. As such, it constitutes a milestone in research on the evolution of the Sinitic language group. Whereas previous studies have emphasized the structure of the Chinese characters, this pathbreaking dictionary places primary emphasis on the sounds and meanings of Sinitic roots. Based on more than three decades of intensive investigation in primary and secondary sources, this completely new dictionary places Old Chinese squarely within the Sino-Tibetan language family (including close consideration of numerous Tiberto-Burman languages), while paying due regard to other language families such as Austroasiatic, Miao-Yao (Hmong-Mien), and Kam-Tai. Designed for use by nonspecialists and specialists alike, the dictionary is highly accessible, being arranged in alphabetical order and possessed of numerous innovative lexicographical features. Each entry offers one or more possible etymologies as well as reconstructed pronunciations and other relevant data. Words that are morphologically related are grouped together into "word families" that attempt to make explicit the derivational or other etymological processes that relate them. The dictionary is preceded by a substantive and significant introduction that outlines the author’s views on the linguistic position of Chinese within Asia and details the phonological and morphological properties, to the degree they are known, of the earliest stages of the Chinese language and its ancestor. This introduction, because it both summarizes and synthesizes earlier work and makes several original contributions, functions as a useful reference work all on its own.

Bestselling author Michael Maloney makes a compelling case that the greatest opportunity of this generation to build and protect your wealth is here. The rocket fuel for any bull market, and the tinder for a bear one, are the economic and political conditions of the day... And Mike shows today is like never before. The magnitude of the potential gains become obvious when you compare today's conditions to the precious metals bull market of the 1970s. In the '70s gold rose more than 25 times its original price, and silver more than 41 times. Today there are approximately twice as many ounces of gold available for investors to buy, but globally, there are also: * 18 times more people that can access, and legally buy, precious metals. * 55 times more currency. * 56 times more millionaires. * 200 times more billionaires. * 220 times more available consumer credit. * 49 times greater global stock market cap. * And that's just the tip of the iceberg. While stocks, real estate, crypto, bonds, and nearly every major asset class have boomed, gold and silver have been largely ignored, and are now among the world's last, and most, undervalued assets. But a shift is underway. The coming flight to safety will be staggering... and gold and silver will be the big winners. After accurately predicting the crisis of 2008, Mike now presents unassailable data that an even greater crisis is coming. As you turn the pages, you'll understand the enormity of it, that we have passed an economic point of no return, and that there is no avoiding it. The old 'normal' is just not coming back. The Great Gold and Silver Rush of the 21st-Century provides a roadmap for navigating the coming economic storm. The knowledge it contains will help you protect yourself, your family, and your assets through the turbulent times ahead. Most will be devastated, many will be totally ruined, but those few who are prepared can massively increase their wealth.

TIME-TESTED, ROCK-SOLID ADVICE THAT HAS CARRIED THOUSANDS OF NOW SUCCESSFUL PEOPLE UP THE LADDER OF SUCCESS IN THEIR BUSINESS AND PERSONAL LIVES A classic book that gave birth to the self-help industry, How to Win Friends and Influence People is a phenomenal bestseller, having sold over 15 million copies worldwide and still going strong. It has been translated into 31 languages and is on Time magazine's list of 100 most influential books of all time. Dale Carnegie offers practical and proven advice on how to deal with people and understand them in order to get along well with them to make your life more rewarding. Carnegie believed that financial success, to a very large extent, depends on 'the ability to express ideas, to assume leadership, and to arouse enthusiasm among people.' He teaches these skills through fundamental principles of dealing with people so that they feel important and appreciated. He also details techniques for handling people without making them feel manipulated. This book will teach you how to: ●Think new thoughts, get out of a mental rut, acquire new visions and discover new ambitions ● Increase your popularity and make friends quickly and easily ● Increase your influence, prestige and the ability to get things done ●Become a better speaker and a more effective conversationalist ●Avoid arguments and keep your communication smooth and pleasant Carnegie illustrates his points with anecdotes of historical figures, leaders of the business world, and everyday folks. One of the world's best-known self-made billionaire, Warren Buffett, has said that this is the book that changed his life.

Real-world advice on how to be invisible online from "the FBI's most wanted hacker" (Wired). Be online without leaving a trace. Your every step online is being tracked and stored, and your identity literally stolen. Big companies and big governments want to know and exploit what you do, and privacy is a luxury few can afford or understand. In this explosive yet practical book, Kevin Mitnick uses true-life stories to show exactly what is happening without your knowledge, teaching you "the art of invisibility" -- online and real-world tactics to protect you and your family, using easy step-by-step instructions. Reading this book, you will learn everything from password protection and smart Wi-Fi usage to advanced techniques designed to maximize your anonymity. Kevin Mitnick knows exactly how vulnerabilities can be exploited and just what to do to prevent that from happening. The world's most famous -- and formerly the US government's most wanted -- computer hacker, he has hacked into some of the country's most powerful and seemingly impenetrable agencies and companies, and at one point was on a three-year run from the FBI. Now Mitnick is reformed and widely regarded as the expert on the subject of computer security. Invisibility isn't just for superheroes; privacy is a power you deserve and need in the age of Big Brother and Big Data. "Who better than Mitnick -- internationally wanted hacker turned Fortune 500 security consultant -- to teach you how to keep your data safe?" --Esquire