3 Years - Daisy Robin & Me Starter Green (pack)
Economist Bryan Caplan makes a bold case for unrestricted immigration in this fact-filled graphic nonfiction. American policy-makers have long been locked in a heated battle over whether, how many, and what kind of immigrants to allow to live and work in the country. Those in favor of welcoming more immigrants often cite humanitarian reasons, while those in favor of more restrictive laws argue the need to protect native citizens. But economist Bryan Caplan adds a new, compelling perspective to the immigration debate: He argues that opening all borders could eliminate absolute poverty worldwide and usher in a booming worldwide economy―greatly benefiting humanity. With a clear and conversational tone, exhaustive research, and vibrant illustrations by Zach Weinersmith, Open Borders makes the case for unrestricted immigration easy to follow and hard to deny.
Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill. This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives. The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness. However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance. Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared. PRAISE FOR FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS: Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year “[Fooled by Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther’s ninety-five theses were to the Catholic Church.” –Malcolm Gladwell, author of Blink “The book that rolled down Wall Street like a hand grenade.” –Maggie Mahar, author of Bull! A History of the Boom, 1982—1999 “Fascinating . . . Taleb will grab you.” –Peter L. Bernstein, author of Capital Ideas Evolving “Recalls the best of scientist/essayists like Richard Dawkins . . . and Stephen Jay Gould.” –Michael Schrage, author of Serious Play: How the World’s Best Companies Simulate to Innovate “We need a book like this. . . . Fun to read, refreshingly independent-minded.” –Robert J. Shiller, author of Irrational Exuberance “Powerful . . . loaded with crackling little insights [and] extreme brilliance.” –National Review
¿Es posible sanar el alma cuando el pasado está marcado por el abuso y el dolor? Ecos del Alma no es solo un libro; es un puente hacia la liberación emocional. A través de una valiente honestidad, la autora comparte su propia travesía desde el maltrato infantil hasta la sanación energética, demostrando que el perdón no es solo posible, sino necesario para volver a vivir. ¿Qué descubrirás en estas páginas? * Regresiones a vidas pasadas: Casos reales de personas que superaron traumas inexplicables al comprender su origen kármico. * Herramientas de sanación: Cómo transformar el dolor de abusos y relaciones tóxicas en amor propio. * Más allá de lo visible: Respuestas sobre la reencarnación, los viajes astrales y la comunicación con seres que ya no están. * Paz ante la pérdida: Una visión reconfortante sobre la muerte como una transición, no como un final. Este libro es para ti si: * Buscas superar heridas del pasado que parecen no cerrar. * Te interesan los misterios de la espiritualidad y el karma. * Necesitas encontrar un propósito y paz en un mundo de conflictos. Abre tu corazón a una nueva realidad. La muerte es solo una transición; la sanación empieza hoy.
Humor y aventuras en esta nueva aventura de Mundodisco. Un mago moribundo cede su bastón -y por tanto su poder- a Eskarina, un recién nacido que, según los rituales admitidos, no puede ser mago sino bruja. Con el tiempo, el rito de iniciación se completa con un aprendizaje más formal en la Universidad Invisible, inefable centro de estudios esotéricos, donde el mago Simón hace gala de sus increíbles poderes. Juntos, Eskarina y Simón tendrán que hacer frente a una invasión de extrañas criaturas que amenazan con destruir el Mundodisco...
¿Qué es la renta básica? ¿Por qué la han defendido tanto liberales como socialdemócratas, comunistas, feministas o ecologistas? ¿Es eficiente desde el punto de vista del crecimiento económico y de la creación de empleo? Y sobre todo: ¿es justa? Éstas son algunas de las preguntas a las que da respuesta Juan Ramón Rallo en Contra la renta básica, un libro que aborda la que probablemente termine siendo la política redistributiva más importante del siglo XXI. En contra de lo que suele pensarse, la principal razón por la que el autor rechaza la renta básica no es económica, sino ética: la solidaridad es un fin muy loable, pero no puede ser impuesta por la fuerza. «No es el fin el que justifica los medios, sino que son los medios los que permiten justificar los fines»: también en el caso de la redistribución estatal de la renta. Según demuestra Rallo analizando críticamente las principales corrientes filosóficas contemporáneas como la socialdemocracia, el republicanismo, el comunismo, el utilitarismo, el feminismo o el ecologismo, la redistribución coactiva de la renta no puede justificarse desde un punto de vista ético: forzar a una persona a subordinar sus proyectos vitales a los proyectos vitales de los demás es injusto, intolerante y contrario a las bases sociales de la convivencia. De ahí que sólo el liberalismo proporcione un marco de justicia que permite el desarrollo moral de cada individuo sin interferir violentamente sobre el desarrollo moral del resto de individuos. Y de ahí que la renta básica, al vulnerar la mucho más básica libertad personal, sólo nos aleje de ese ideal de una sociedad genuinamente voluntaria y cooperativa. En el presente ensayo no sólo encontrará la crítica más completa y sistemática a la redistribución coactiva de la renta por parte del Estado, sino también todo un tratado de filosofía política dirigido a reivindicar y defender el liberalismo como una realista utopía integral e integradora frente a sus principales alternativas ideológicas.
Un mundo feliz es un clásico de la literatura del siglo XX, una sombría metáfora de un futuro posible. Los peores vaticinios del capitalismo se han cumplido: triunfan los dioses del consumo y la comodidad, y el orbe se divide en diez zonas en apariencia seguras y estables. Los humanos ya no procrean, el sexo se ha convertido solo en una diversión y las letras del alfabeto griego se han pervertido para clasificar a los seres humanos por castas. Todos aceptan su lugar en la nueva jerarquía social, perfectamente ordenada. Los valores humanos esenciales no tienen cabida en este mundo y los habitantes se crean in vitro con una técnica concebida a imagen y semejanza de una cadena de montaje. El soma, la droga por excelencia en este mundo distópico que propone Huxley, ayuda a los habitantes a escapar de la rutina. A cambio de este orden pulcro, la libertad de expresión y el pensamiento crítico han sido erradicados. Bernard Marx, el protagonista de la novela, inconformista e inteligente, deberá probar los límites de la sociedad que lo ha engendrado, iniciando un viaje más allá de las fronteras distópicas de su universo. La crítica ha dicho: «Según los ojos con que se mire, Un mundo feliz retrata una utopía perfecta o su horrendo opuesto, una distopía: sus hermosos habitantes viven seguros y libres de enfermedades y preocupaciones, pero lo hacen de un modo que, queremos creer, sería inaceptable para nosotros.» Margaret Atwood «Aldous Huxley fue un hombre extraordinariamente profético, no hay otro novelista en el siglo XX que haya escrito una guía más sagaz del futuro.» J.G. Ballard «Un mundo feliz también ha conservado su mordacidad satírica y una expresión de gran impacto aforístico, con un vívido sentido del poder del lenguaje y de las ideas en una sociedad humana cambiante.» Robert McCrum, The Guardian
NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught? In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters." In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.
¡Bienvenidos a Fantasiburgo! ¡¡¡PROHIBIDO EL ACCESO DE HUMANOS!!! Serie middle grade muuuy gamberra que combina misterio con fantasía y humor. Un libro, un caso fantástico a resolver, capítulos cortos, escenarios increíbles y voces únicas. ¡Y con las divertidísimas ilustraciones de Bea Tormo! Tania y Gon se han acostumbrado a la vida en Fantasiburgo: el supermercado de dragones, los conciertos de sirenas y las series de ogros. Pero su tranquilidad llega a su fin con la llegada de Nené, la nueva profesora de apoyo, una tímida esfinge. ¿Por qué desaparecen los adultos del cole? Y sobre todo: ¿¡por qué la profesora esfinge nunca pregunta a los alumnos, si es profesora y es esfinge!?
Want a comfortable way to talk with your kids about pornography? This newly revised edition of the original bestseller from Defend Young Minds makes that daunting discussion easy! Good Pictures Bad Pictures is a read-aloud story about a mom and dad who explain what pornography is, why it’s dangerous, and how to reject it. Featuring easy-to-understand science and simple analogies, this internationally-acclaimed book engages young kids to porn-proof their own brains. With Good Pictures Bad Pictures, your child will never be caught off guard by disturbing videos or peer pressure! The 5-point CAN DO Plan™ teaches kids exactly what to do to protect their young minds when they see pornography. “I am so grateful for this book! It was a great way to talk to my children about pornography without that awkward, uncomfortable feeling.” Lisa Parents don’t need to wonder what to say--simply read Good Pictures Bad Pictures to your child and move forward with confidence! You can even use this book before beginning the sex talks! Check out these new features in the second edition. * "Let's Talk!" discussion questions at the end of each chapter help kids deepen their understanding so they’ll be even more prepared to reject pornography. * All new Tips for Parents and Caregivers section offers practical advice for raising porn-proof kids in the digital age.. * The most up-to-date science provides kids with even more powerful arguments against pornography. * A beautifully redesigned interior makes it easier and more fun to read!
A bold and eye-opening exposé on how power and propaganda distort the news, now more relevant than ever • With an updated introduction “[A] compelling indictment of the news media’s role in covering up errors and deceptions in American foreign policy.”—The New York Times Book Review Renowned scholars Edward S. Herman and Noam Chomsky reveal how U.S. news media, far from being independent watchdogs, often function as tools of elite influence. With probing analysis, they present their Propaganda Model, a framework that explains how systemic bias shapes the stories we’re told, the voices we hear, and the truths that remain hidden. Through deeply researched case studies, from the Vietnam War to coverage of “worthy” vs. “unworthy” victims, Manufacturing Consent exposes the structural forces that drive news organizations to reinforce power rather than question it. It’s a sobering portrait of a media system more interested in maintaining order than informing the public. This edition includes an introduction updating key examples and expanding the Propaganda Model’s relevance to issues like the coverage of NAFTA, the media’s treatment of global protests, and environmental regulation. Manufacturing Consent is a powerful assessment of how propagandistic the U.S. mass media are, how they systematically fail to live up to their self-image as providers of the kind of information that people need to make sense of the world, and how we can understand their function in a radically new way. Whether you’re a student, activist, or citizen looking to see beyond the headlines, this book will transform how you understand the media—and the world around you.
In July 2010, Wikileaks published Cablegate, one of the biggest leaks in the history of the US military, including evidence for war crimes and torture. In the aftermath Julian Assange, the founder and spokesman of Wikileaks, found himself at the center of a media storm, accused of hacking and later sexual assault. He spent the next seven years in asylum in the Ecuadorian embassy in London, fearful that he would be extradited to Sweden to face the accusations of assault and then sent to US. At this point, Nils Melzer, UN Special Rapporteur on Torture, started his investigation into how the US and UK governments were working together to ensure a conviction. His findings are explosive, revealing that Assange has faced grave and systematic due process violations, judicial bias, collusion and manipulated evidence. Melzer also gathered together consolidated medical evidence that proves that Assange has suffered prolonged psychological torture. Melzer's compelling investigation puts the UK and US state into the dock, showing how, through secrecy, impunity and, crucially, public indifference, unchecked power reveals a deeply undemocratic system. Furthermore, the Assange case sets a dangerous precedent: once telling the truth becomes a crime, censorship and tyranny will inevitably follow.